FranceAgriMer data show French winter grain planting almost stopped by November 20 because of prolonged rain. Soft wheat was 74% sown against 98% a year earlier, and winter wheat condition fell to 83% good or excellent.
Winter barley planting reached 86%, and corn harvest was 98% complete.
Stalled French plantings and deteriorating crop condition raise downside risk to EU wheat output, which supports wheat prices and European feed grain demand.
After 1,072 past bullish weather events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.3%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.