
India's National Fertilizers Limited issued a tender for urea shipments through 29 February, closing 4 January. Latin American demand was weak and Brazilian buyers had been hit by poor weather, with cfr values at best stable and Turkish business concluded around $340/t cfr.
A sizeable Indian import tender adds buying interest at a time of light offseason demand in the US, Europe and Brazil, which should help firm urea prices into early 2024.
After 176 past bullish trade events, Urea moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.3% to +2.4%), and +1.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.