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Argentina devalued the peso by 54%, overhauled its crawling peg, and announced large spending cuts aimed at eliminating the primary fiscal deficit next year. These are the first steps in President Javier Milei's shock-therapy program.
A large devaluation and fiscal tightening can prompt Argentine farmers to accelerate sales of soybeans, meal and corn to capture the stronger dollar value, adding export supply and pressuring world meal and oil prices.
bloomberg.comKevin Simauchi, Manuela Tobias, Ignacio Olivera DollDec 12, 2023After 222 past bearish policy events, SBM moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (45% higher; middle half -2.1% to +1.2%), and -0.6% over 20.
After 351 past bearish policy events, SBO moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.8%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 310 past bearish policy events, CORN moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and +0.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
