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Most Latin American currencies fell as investors moved to safe-haven assets after Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh was assassinated in Tehran. Brazil's real dropped 1.5% to 5.73 per dollar, its lowest level in over two years, after the central bank warned about inflation expectations.
The geopolitical shock lifts the dollar and weakens the real, which can make Brazilian exports cheaper, but the effect on feed commodity prices is indirect and limited.
stockopedia.comJan 8, 2024After 338 past bullish events of any kind, Brazilian Real (BRL per USD) moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.7%), and +1.0% over 20.
After 89 past bullish geopolitics events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (74% higher; middle half -0.0% to +1.0%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
