
A farmdoc daily analysis by North Dakota State and UConn economists examines how Panama Canal drought restrictions and Houthi attacks in the Red Sea are disrupting global shipping. Since late November 2023, most container traffic has been rerouted via the Cape of Good Hope, with 85% of global container vessels using that route in January 2024.
Longer transit times and higher freight rates raise landed costs for US corn and soybean exports to Asia, which can weigh on US basis and farm-gate prices while supporting freight-linked costs for feed buyers.
After 359 past bearish logistics events, Corn moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -1.5% to +1.5%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 297 past bearish logistics events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.5% to +1.8%), and +0.7% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.