Loading…
Research in Agribusiness from Arkansas Agricultural Experiment Station economists finds that parts of Arkansas and other Southern states are among the most exposed to low Mississippi River conditions. Higher barge transport costs pass through the marketing system and weaken local grain basis for corn and soybeans.
The study confirms that low river levels transfer freight costs to farmers as weaker local cash prices, which keeps Southern corn and soybean basis under pressure while river costs stay elevated.
aaes.uada.eduOct 21, 2026After 359 past bearish logistics events, Corn moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -1.5% to +1.5%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 297 past bearish logistics events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.5% to +1.8%), and +0.7% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
