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Oxford Economics expects central banks to start cutting rates in coming months and says metals prices have historically risen after monetary easing. It forecasts a gradual metals rebound that gains momentum through 2025, with China's stronger yuan a key channel.
Lower rates and a weaker dollar would support metal-intensive demand, but the effect on feed grains and meals is indirect and slow.
oxfordeconomics.comSaarah GhaziFeb 29, 2024After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 362 past bearish macro events, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (42% higher; middle half -0.4% to +0.1%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
