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Chicago May soybeans initially fell on the March 8 WASDE day before rallying sharply on bullish changes to China demand and doubts about USDA's high Brazil soybean estimate. USDA left U.S. corn and soy balance sheets unchanged, while wheat recovered despite further Chinese cancellations of soft red wheat.
Stronger Chinese import demand and skepticism about Brazil supply support soybean and meal prices, while wheat remains pressured by export cancellations.
dtnpf.comDana MantiniMar 8, 2024After 747 past bullish report events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.1%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 414 past bullish report events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -2.1% to +2.3%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 1,006 past bearish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.8%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
