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ING expects limited upside for USD/CNY and says Chinese authorities will avoid a competitive devaluation. It forecasts USD/CNY at 7.25 in one month and 7.00 in twelve months, and says the PBOC has held off on rate cuts this year to support the renminbi.
The forecast of a stable to firmer yuan over the coming year suggests China's dollar-priced import costs will not rise sharply, which keeps feed demand steady.
think.ing.comMin Joo Kang, Lynn Song, Nicholas MapaJun 17, 2024After 169 past neutral macro events, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.2%), and -0.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
