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ING analysts expect Chinese authorities to hold USD/CNY relatively stable rather than devalue, with a one-month neutral bias and a 3-month forecast of 7.10. They see the Korean won as more vulnerable and expect tariffs may not take effect until late 2025 or 2026.
Stable yuan expectations reduce the risk of sharp Chinese import cost swings, while the timing of tariffs leaves feed demand uncertainty for the coming year.
think.ing.comLynn Song, Min Joo Kang, Deepali BhargavaNov 14, 2024After 169 past neutral macro events, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.2%), and -0.0% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
