
Western Canadian feed barley bids have held steady for a month as buyers await new crop under favourable growing conditions. USDA estimates Canadian 2024/25 barley output at 9.6 million tonnes, up from 8.9 million, with domestic feed use rising to 7.4 million tonnes.
New-crop prices are starting to trade below old-crop levels.
A larger Canadian crop and higher domestic feeding reduce import needs for corn and export availability, which points to softer barley and corn values over the coming year.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 1,102 past bearish report events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.