
Chicago wheat rose as uncertainty over Russia's wheat crop prompted traders to cover large short positions. Corn fell after USDA's acreage report showed more corn planted than expected and forecasts pointed to beneficial US Corn Belt weather, while soybeans rose on signs of increased demand.
Russian crop doubts support wheat prices, while the larger US corn acreage weighs on corn and DDGS values. Soybean demand signs support soy prices.
After 769 past bullish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 1,102 past bearish report events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 747 past bullish report events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.1%), and +0.8% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Russian crop uncertainty triggered short covering in Chicago wheat on July 1, and the large speculative short positions could fuel a sharp rebound.