
The French farm ministry forecasts soft wheat production down 15.4% to 29.7 million tonnes, the lowest since 2020, with yield at 6.99 t/ha. Wet weather delayed planting and increased crop disease, and barley and rapeseed are also projected lower.
A ministry-confirmed drop of this size tightens EU wheat and feed-grain supply, supporting European and world wheat prices.
After 769 past bullish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.2% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.