
France's farm ministry lowered its 2024 soft wheat estimate to 25.78 million tons, down 27% from last year and the lowest since 1986. Barley was cut to 10.05 million tons, while grain maize was raised to 14.39 million tons.
A smaller French wheat and barley crop tightens EU feed supplies, while the higher maize forecast partly offsets corn tightness.
After 769 past bullish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.2% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 1,102 past bearish report events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
France's soft wheat estimate was cut to the lowest since 1986, reducing EU supply.