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ProAg reviews the US beef cow herd, which remains at historically low levels after drought-driven liquidation from 2021 to 2023. USDA projects 2024 beef cow slaughter near 2.9 million head, and the CME Feeder Cattle Index is noted near record levels.
A continued cow herd contraction should tighten feeder supplies and support higher feeder cattle prices, though high interest rates and input costs may slow rebuilding.
proag.comSep 19, 2024After 21 past bullish macro events, Feeder Cattle moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.7% to +1.4%), and +2.4% over 20.
After 28 past bullish macro events, Live Cattle moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -1.2% to +0.9%), and +1.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
