
Economists say US cattle inventories are the lowest since the 1950s and consumer demand remains strong, but market volatility is making sale timing difficult for producers. Herd expansion is expected to take years, with drought, high interest rates and production costs slowing recovery.
A tight cattle supply keeps feeder and fed cattle prices elevated through 2027-2028, supporting demand for feed, though price swings add risk to feedlot decisions.
After 21 past bullish macro events, Feeder Cattle moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.7% to +1.4%), and +2.4% over 20.
After 28 past bullish macro events, Live Cattle moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -1.2% to +0.9%), and +1.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.