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Julius Baer says the outlook for Fed rate cuts is supporting gold, which reached record highs after the ECB's second cut. It adds that past cycles show lower rates alone do not lift gold without a recession, and that equities usually perform well during easing cycles.
The article covers gold and equities rather than feed inputs, so its direct effect on feed prices is minimal; the main link is a weaker dollar from easing.
juliusbaer.comChristian Gattiker, Mathieu Racheter, Nenad Dinic, Eirini TsekeridouSep 20, 2024After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
