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Analysts expected the rupiah to strengthen only modestly on October 31 after weaker-than-expected US third-quarter GDP growth of 2.8%. Stronger-than-expected ADP employment data of 233,000 jobs was seen limiting the gains.
A softer US growth outlook can ease dollar strength over time, but the stronger jobs data keeps near-term dollar support in place for dollar-priced feed imports.
After 359 past neutral macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -0.4% to +0.4%), and -0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.