
The rupiah returned to positive territory on August 30, 2021, after gaining 0.24% against the dollar the prior week. Market attention centred on expected Fed tapering of asset purchases, with Powell at Jackson Hole signalling it would begin this year.
Expected US tapering tends to support the dollar and pressure emerging-market currencies, which raises the cost of dollar-priced feed imports for Indonesia. The outlook is mixed because markets also took the signal as orderly.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 359 past neutral macro events, DXY moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -0.4% to +0.4%), and -0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.