US growth data has been consistently beating forecasts, prompting markets to pare Fed rate cut bets and lifting the US dollar. AUD/USD and NZD/USD have fallen as a result, with nonfarm payrolls and PCE inflation key data points ahead.
Stronger US rates and dollar reduce the appeal of dollar-priced commodities for foreign buyers, a mild bearish factor for US export prices and a bullish factor for importers' local-currency costs.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.