Loading…
The Brazilian real closed above R$5.76 per dollar, its weakest level since March 2021, and is down about 5.8% in October. Foreign investors raised their dollar long positions in the derivatives market and cut bets on Brazilian rate cuts, while spot FX inflows fell well below 2023 levels.
A weaker real makes Brazilian soybeans, corn and meal cheaper for export buyers, which tends to pressure global feed prices. The dollar-real move also shifts Brazilian farmer selling behaviour.
valorinternational.globo.comGabriel Roca, Arthur Cagliari, Victor Rezende, Gabriel CaldeiraOct 30, 2024After 301 past bullish macro events, Brazilian Real (BRL per USD) moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.2% to +1.7%), and +1.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
