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Bloomberg reports that traders of soybeans, coffee and rubber had been paying premiums to farmers for deforestation-free supplies ahead of the EU rules. The EU's proposed delay of those rules now upends those sourcing plans.
Premiums paid for compliant supply may fall if demand for certified product is postponed, which weakens the price incentive for segregated soy and palm supply. The effect is modest and mainly on premium pricing.
bloomberg.comMichael Hirtzer, Dayanne Sousa, Bernadette TohOct 9, 2024After 369 past bearish policy events, Soybeans moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.8%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 548 past bullish policy events, Palm Oil moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -0.7% to +2.1%), and +0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
