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Foreign investors cut their net long dollar positions against the Brazilian real by $19.3 billion in derivatives markets since mid-December 2024. The reduction followed central bank intervention, a softer Trump tariff stance, and expectations of higher Selic rates.
Reduced bets on a stronger dollar have helped the real recover, which lowers the cost of Brazilian grain and meal exports in dollars and can ease pressure on world soy and corn prices.
valorinternational.globo.comArthur CagliariJan 29, 2025After 213 past bearish macro events, Brazilian Real (BRL per USD) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -1.5% to +0.9%), and +0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
