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UBS says the US dollar has strengthened further in 2025, with the DXY reaching its highest since November 2022 and trading above 110 intraday. It expects the dollar to stay stronger for longer on robust US data and tariff worries abroad.
A stronger dollar and delayed Fed cuts weigh on dollar-priced feed grains and meals in export markets, while raising import costs for buyers outside the US.
ubs.comJan 14, 2025After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 301 past bearish macro events, Corn moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.3%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 273 past bearish macro events, Soybeans moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.4% to +1.4%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
