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ABN AMRO's global daily note reviews the recent rise in US yields, which it attributes to higher inflation expectations after the Senate election. It forecasts a 2021-2022 rise in US yields and a faster Fed taper following a large fiscal package.
Higher US yields and a stronger dollar tend to pressure commodity prices and raise financing costs for feed buyers.
abnamro.comBill Diviney Aggie van Huisseling (+1Jan 21, 2021After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
