DTN's seasonal forecast says La Niña is weak and not expected to last far into spring. It expects slower soil warming, possible Ohio Valley wetness causing planting delays, and potential hot, dry summer conditions in the central US.
Possible spring planting delays and summer heat risk in the central US could tighten corn and soybean supply expectations, supporting prices if they materialize.
After 1,465 past bullish weather events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 1,079 past bullish weather events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.