
OPEC+ Energy Minister Novak said the group is not considering a delay to the planned April oil supply increase. The increase builds on the unwinding of 2.2 million bpd of voluntary cuts.
Confirmation that supply will rise as scheduled points to looser crude balances, which is mildly bearish for oil and weighs on biofuel and energy-linked feedstock costs.
After 210 past bearish policy events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -0.9% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -3.8% to +3.2%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 215 past bearish policy events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -4.4% to +3.3%), and +0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.