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OPEC+ agreed to raise oil production gradually in the coming months, signalling growing confidence in the global economic recovery. Analysts had widely expected the cartel to keep its cautious stance and roll over existing supply limits.
Planned supply increases put downward pressure on crude oil prices, which affect energy and transport costs across the feed chain. The move is a supply-side policy decision rather than a demand shock.
bloomberg.comSalma El Wardany, Javier Blas, Dina Khrennikova, Grant SmithApr 1, 2021After 215 past bearish policy events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -4.4% to +3.3%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 210 past bearish policy events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -0.9% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -3.8% to +3.2%), and +0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
