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Powell said Trump's tariffs were partly responsible for higher prices, as the Fed held rates steady and projected weaker year-end growth and 2.8% inflation. The Fed still expected two quarter-point cuts by the end of 2025.
Tariff-driven inflation and weaker growth raise trade and macro uncertainty that can affect export demand and the dollar.
After 359 past neutral macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -0.4% to +0.4%), and -0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.