
The Federal Reserve held its benchmark rate near 4.25%-4.5% and cut its US growth forecast while raising its inflation projection to 2.8% for 2025. Chair Jerome Powell said tariffs were a good part of recent goods price increases, and Trump called for rate cuts.
A weaker US growth outlook and tariff-driven inflation point to a firmer dollar risk and softer demand expectations, with uncertain effects on feed-linked commodities and trade flows.
After 359 past neutral macro events, DXY moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -0.4% to +0.4%), and -0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.