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GBP/USD rose to near 1.3240 in early Asian trading after Fed Governor Waller said additional hikes will likely be needed but there is flexibility on pace. Markets priced a 17.7% chance of a Fed hike at the October meeting and 83% for December.
UK long-term borrowing costs hit their highest since the 1990s, and the first budget is due October 28.
Lower odds of an October Fed hike ease dollar strength, but UK fiscal stress limits sterling's gains. The net effect on dollar-priced commodities is small, though sustained dollar moves affect import costs for feed buyers.
fxstreet.comLallalit SrijandornOct 1, 2026Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 359 past neutral macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -0.4% to +0.4%), and -0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
