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Fed officials are weighing the inflation risk of tariffs against the expected hit to growth now that tariff details are known. Markets have cut their forecast for 2025 rate reductions after Trump's tariff announcement.
A slower economy would weaken energy and industrial demand and pressure commodity prices. Fewer expected rate cuts keep the dollar firm.
reuters.comHoward SchneiderApr 3, 2025After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
