Trade, biofuel policies continue to influence crop markets

After 842 past bullish policy events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.

• Oct 31, 2019Biofuel forecast may prop up prices | The Western Producer+2.5%
• Jul 19, 2024Canola sector gets biofuel shock | The Western Producer-0.7%
• Jun 30, 2026Indonesia biofuel push adds strain to producers, palm oil markets+1.3%
• May 25, 2023Clean energy decision could soon impact oilseed markets | The Western Producer-1.5%
• Jun 13, 2025U.S. grains: Soybeans climb, soyoil soars daily limit on US biofuel proposal | The Western Producer+10.1%

Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.

After 554 past neutral policy events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.6%), and +0.6% over 20.

• Jan 8, 2025Urea prices continue to rise in line with the international market trend – Dezba Inspection+5.1%
• Jul 28, 2017Hearings Demonstrate Top Concerns for Ag Producers - Farm Policy Facts-4.4%
• Jun 1, 2024The Race to Map the World and Protect $110 Billion of Trade-2.1%
• Apr 28, 2022Trade Is Top Priority At U.S.-China Agricultural Dialogue - U.S. Grains & BioProducts Council-3.3%
• Feb 3, 2026Grain trader ADM's 2026 profit forecast lags expectations amid US biofuel policy uncertainty | Reuters+4.8%