Weather Shocks vs. Oversupply: Are You Trading SRW Wheat's Next Big Move?

After 1,006 past bearish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.8%), and +0.3% over 20.

• Jul 13, 2017A Shock to the Wheat Market - Northern Ag Network-1.8%
• Jan 21, 2021Favorable Weather and Strong Income Support Winter Wheat Seeding+4.0%
• Mar 11, 2025USDA Increases U.S. Wheat Ending Stocks More Than Expected+5.7%
• Apr 20, 2017Importer Ending Stocks Shrink to 6-Year Low - U.S. Wheat Associates+1.3%
• Sep 21, 2017Russian wheat output shocks markets-6.6%

After 138 past bearish report events, Wheat (HRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -2.9% to +2.4%), and +0.5% over 20.

• Jul 13, 2017A Shock to the Wheat Market - Northern Ag Network-5.3%
• Jan 21, 2021Favorable Weather and Strong Income Support Winter Wheat Seeding-0.0%
• Jan 18, 2018More bad news for the wheat market+1.4%
• Oct 29, 2025Large wheat supply pressures prices | The Western Producer+3.2%
• Jan 8, 2018Wheat in focus as fierce competition, oversupply weigh on prices – Dailynewsegypt-2.6%