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India's 2 million tonne urea tender closes July 7 for shipment by August 22, and Iran and Egypt have resumed production. Iranian urea is offered at about USD 420/tonne FOB, but bids are below USD 400, and Egyptian granular has sold at up to USD 460.
China may release another 2 million tonnes.
The tender price will show whether urea has peaked, since current prices look high against grain values. Additional Chinese volumes could trigger a price correction, while buyers in India and Brazil face affordability pressure.
czapp.comStein Chingen HauganJul 7, 2025After 23 past neutral trade events, Urea moved a median 0.0% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.0%), and +2.8% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
