Loading…
A July 31 executive order set new US reciprocal tariffs effective August 7, with 10% on Morocco, Saudi Arabia and Egypt phosphate suppliers, 15% on Trinidad and Tobago ammonia, and 30% on Algerian granular urea. Brazil receives exemptions for NPK fertilizers.
Tariffs on key phosphate, ammonia and urea origins raise US import costs and may redirect trade flows. The impact on prices depends on how much buyers can shift between suppliers.
spglobal.comMarina Silveira Lima, Lujan Scarpinelli, Lucas Sposito, Hiron PasconAug 1, 2025After 176 past bullish trade events, Urea moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.3% to +2.4%), and +1.6% over 20.
After 193 past bullish trade events, DAP moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -0.3% to +1.8%), and +1.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
New US tariffs on phosphate suppliers like Morocco and Saudi Arabia, announced July 31, raise expected import costs and add upward pressure on DAP.
