
FXStreet says Powell's Jackson Hole speech signaled a possible September rate cut, lifting gold about 1% and weakening the dollar. Markets priced an 86% chance of a 25bp cut at the September meeting, based on CME FedWatch.
The article notes that lower rates and a softer dollar support the broader commodity complex.
A weaker dollar makes dollar-priced commodities cheaper for foreign buyers, a modest supportive factor for grain and oilseed prices.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.