
Farmer Mac's outlook describes a neutral 'La Nada' climate for the 2025 US harvest, with a possible shift to La Niña by winter. It forecasts mild, dry fall conditions across the Midwest and warmer, drier weather moving into the upper Midwest and Plains in September.
Favourable harvest weather and strong US and Brazilian production forecasts point to ample grain supply and continued pressure on corn and soybean prices.
After 357 past bearish weather events, CORN moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.3%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 363 past bearish weather events, SOY moved a median -0.6% over 5 sessions (42% higher; middle half -2.5% to +1.1%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.