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USDA's September Hogs and Pigs report showed the breeding herd at 5.93 million head, down 2% from a year earlier and lower than June, contrary to expectations of an increase. Analysts said retention was weaker than culling, and expect hog prices to stay well supported into 2026 with no supply growth and low feed costs.
A shrinking breeding herd points to limited pork supply ahead, supporting hog prices and reducing hog-related feed demand growth. Lower feed costs partly offset this by improving producer margins.
porkbusiness.comKatie Humphreys, Angie Stump DentonSep 25, 2025After 100 past bullish report events, Lean Hogs moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.9% to +2.0%), and -0.4% over 20.
After 770 past neutral report events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 250 past neutral report events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
