Loading…
ING reports that Powell's press conference showed strong Fed disagreement on the policy path, with a December cut no longer a foregone conclusion. Market pricing for a December 25bp cut fell to about 70% from roughly 100%.
The yen and Swiss franc were the most exposed to the firmer dollar.
Higher short-end US rates support the dollar and weigh on dollar-priced commodities, while commodity currencies held up better on easing US-China tensions.
think.ing.comChris Turner, Francesco PesoleOct 30, 2025After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
