
Manitoba farmers face cash-flow pressure as low grain prices, high input costs and a large 2025 harvest weigh on returns. Statistics Canada projects 36.6 million tonnes of wheat and 20.0 million tonnes of canola, with soybeans down to 7.13 million tonnes.
Large Canadian supplies and uncertain trade policy with China and the US keep grain prices under downward pressure for feed buyers.
After 1,006 past bearish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.8%), and +0.3% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.