A Grain Industry Association of Victoria crop tour estimated Victorian Mallee wheat yields at 3.52 t/ha, double the 2021 level, implying about 2.34 million tonnes from 664,341 ha. The tour put total Victorian wheat at 5.856 Mt, well above ABARES's 4.37 Mt estimate.
A record Mallee crop above official forecasts adds to Australian supply and can soften feed wheat and barley export prices if realized.
After 1,006 past bearish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.8%), and +0.3% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.