
The Fed cut the funds rate by 25 basis points to 3.75%-4.00% on October 29 with two dissents, one for a 50bp cut and one for no change. It also said it will end balance sheet runoff from December 1 and reinvest maturing Treasuries.
Powell said a December cut is not guaranteed.
Ending quantitative tightening adds liquidity, which is mildly supportive for commodities, but the signal of fewer near-term cuts supports the dollar. The net effect on feed prices is modest.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.