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The US average retail diesel price was $6.352 a gallon on Oct. 26, up from $3.718 a year earlier, according to the EIA.
Diesel remains more than 70% above year-ago levels.
Elevated diesel costs raise freight and feed-delivery expenses for feed buyers and signal tight distillate supply that supports energy-linked input costs.
After 105 past bullish macro events, ULSD / Diesel moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (45% higher; middle half -3.4% to +1.8%), and +1.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.