ABARES expects Australian agriculture, fisheries and forestry production to reach a record $106.4 billion in 2025–26. Farm export value is projected at $78.9 billion, and the winter crop is on track for 66.3 million tonnes.
Livestock prices are strengthening on firm restocker demand.
The value forecasts mainly reflect strong livestock prices and a large crop, which underlines ample Australian export supply. The impact on feed grain prices is limited because the release is a value summary rather than a new supply shock.
After 2,447 past report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.5% to +1.8%), and +0.2% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.