ABARES's March 2026 Australian Crop Report says growers delivered the second largest winter crop on record despite below-average growing-season rainfall in many southeast cropping regions. Strong yields were supported by timely rain and mild spring temperatures.
A large Australian winter crop adds export supply for wheat and barley, which tends to weigh on global feed grain prices.
After 1,006 past bearish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.8%), and +0.3% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.