
DTN's year-end review covers New World screwworm moving north through Mexico, with the closest case 70 miles from the US border. The US border has been closed to Mexican cattle since November 2024, and no US cases have been found.
The ongoing threat keeps the import ban and herd-protection costs in place, supporting tight US cattle supplies and higher cattle prices.
After 148 past bullish disease events, LCATTLE moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.5% to +1.2%), and +1.4% over 20.
After 122 past bullish disease events, FCATTLE moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -1.0% to +1.6%), and +2.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.