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StoneX's Josh Linville says China set an October 15 deadline for its phosphate export window and has since slowed shipments. Global phosphate demand has been slow, and many importers have stayed out of the market, keeping volumes thin.
Tightening Chinese export flows combined with compressed spring buying windows could trigger a sharper phosphate price repricing, supporting DAP prices.
stonex.comJosh LinvilleDec 2, 2025After 151 past bullish policy events, DAP moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.9%), and +1.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
