Malaysia's palm oil ending stocks reached a record 3.51 million tonnes, up 1.15 million year-on-year, after October production hit a historic high of 2.12 million tonnes. Exports fell 310,000 tonnes to 1.12 million tonnes.
Record stocks and output add bearish supply pressure, while a narrowing soyoil-palm spread can support domestic palm consumption and partly offset it.
After 96 past bearish report events, PALMOIL moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.6%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 114 past neutral report events, SBO moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.4%), and +0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.