
FranceAgriMer's update for the week ending February 16 showed soft wheat good/excellent ratings slipping to 88% from 91%, winter barley to 84% from 88%, and durum to 83% from 87%. Spring barley sowing was stalled at 30% by heavy rain in western regions.
Small weekly slippage in French crop ratings leaves European supply still ample, so the impact on prices is limited, though the rain-related sowing delay is worth monitoring.
After 406 past neutral report events, WHEAT moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.5%), and +0.0% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.